Volume No. :   10

Issue No. :  4

Year :  2019

ISSN Print :  2321-5828

ISSN Online :  0975-6795


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Wagner’s Law and Public Expenditure in Rajasthan: An Econometric Analysis



Address:   Kirandeep Kaur
Statistical Officer, Department of Planning, Government of Rajasthan
*Corresponding Author
DOI No: 10.5958/2321-5828.2019.00166.9

ABSTRACT:
The present study endeavors to analyze the validity of Wagner law in Rajasthan Economy for period of 1970-71 to 2013-14. The six versions of Wagner law has been analyzed to investigate the relationship between State Government Expenditure and Net State Domestic Product. According to the Wagner law the economic growth is the determinant of the public expenditure. The study applied the unit root test and cointegration test to find the long run relationship between government expenditure and Net State Domestic Product and Standard Granger Causality test to determine causality between the variables. The study found the mix results of various versions of the Wager law for Rajasthan Economy. The results of the study indicates that out of six version only three version (Peacock, Pryor and Guffman Version) are valid for the Rajasthan Economy where the unidirectional causality exists between Net State Domestic Product and State Government Expenditure in long run whereas the short run causality results states bi-directional causality in Peacock and Guffman Version and no causal relationship between the variables in Pryor and Gupta Version. The results of the Standard Pair-wise Granger Causality reflected that there is no causality between the variables in Musgrave and Mann Version. The study concluded that Peacock and Guffman Version of Wagner Law are valid for the Rajasthan Economy.
KEYWORDS:
Wagner’s Law, Public Expenditure, Unit root, Cointegration, Causality analysis. JEL Classification- H52; C22; O23; E62.
Cite:
Kirandeep Kaur. Wagner’s Law and Public Expenditure in Rajasthan: An Econometric Analysis. Res. J. Humanities and Social Sciences. 2019; 10(4): 1011-1024.
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